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The US dollar index is still weak, and gold stops rising three times!

Post time: 2025-07-24 views

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Hello everyone, today XM Forex will bring you "【XM Group】: The US dollar index is still weak, and gold stops rising three times!". Hope it will be helpful to you! The original content is as follows:

On July 24, in the early trading of Asia on Wednesday, Beijing time, the US dollar index hovered around 97.21. Risk aversion cooled down on Wednesday as the United States reached an agreement with more trading partners. The dollar index remained weak and finally closed down 0.16% at 97.162. The yield on the US Treasury rebounded across the board, with the benchmark 10-year US Treasury closing at 4.388%, and the 2-year US Treasury closing at 3.886%. Spot gold rose for three consecutive days and then fell sharply after it was reported that Europe and the United States were close to reaching an agreement. It was once close to the $3380 mark and finally closed down 1.29%, closing at $3387.23/ounce; spot silver remained stable above the $39 mark and finally closed down 0.07%, at $39.27/ounce. International oil prices are close to flat as progress in trade negotiations eases concerns about oil market demand. WTI crude oil fluctuated sideways near the $65 mark and finally closed down 0.18% to $65.22 per barrel; Brent crude oil closed flat at $68.06 per barrel.

Analysis of major currencies

Dollar Index: As of press time, the US dollar index hovered at US$97.21. The market's concerns about the independence of the Federal Reserve are still fermenting, and the US president's criticism of Federal Reserve Chairman Powell has once again heated up, making it difficult for the US dollar to get rid of suppression in the short term and the trend is still weak. Technically, if the US dollar index closes below the 97.30 level, it will move towards the support level of 96.70-96.90.

The US dollar index is still weak, and gold stops rising three times!(图1)

Euro: As of press time, the euro/dollar hovers around 1.Near 1766. The upcoming ECB interest rate resolution to be announced on Thursday will become the focus of this week, with market sentiment becoming more cautious and exchange rates may maintain a volatile consolidation pattern. Technically, if the EUR/USD climbs above 1.1750, it will move towards resistance in the range of 1.1815–1.1830.

The US dollar index is still weak, and gold stops rising three times!(图2)

GBP: As of press time, GBP/USD is hovering around 1.3575. Although the UK's fiscal risks have once again attracted attention, market expectations of the Bank of England's upcoming interest rate cuts and the weakness of the US dollar have affected the pound's exchange rate. In the short term, traders will closely monitor the upcoming preliminary PMI data for the UK and the US in July as an important basis for judging the economic momentum of the two countries. Technically, breaking through the 1.3550 level will open the way for testing the next resistance level 1.3630–1.3650.

The US dollar index is still weak, and gold stops rising three times!(图3)

Analysis of gold and crude oil market trends

1) Analysis of gold market trends

On Thursday, gold hovered around 3391.74. The gold market experienced a "roller coaster" on Wednesday. Gold prices rose to a five-week high of $3,438 per ounce in the early trading of the Asian market, but then fell rapidly, with a single-day decline of more than 1%, and finally closed at $3,386.99 per ounce, down more than $50 from the intraday high. Behind this violent fluctuation is the resonance of multiple factors such as the progress of the US-EU tariff agreement, the recovery of risky assets, and the uncertainty of the Federal Reserve's policy. This trading day will usher in PMI data in July, changes in the number of initial unemployment claims in the United States, annualized total number of new home sales in the United States in June, and the European Central Bank interest rate resolution, investors need to pay attention.

The US dollar index is still weak, and gold stops rising three times!(图4)

Technical: From a technical perspective, the price of gold has been repeatedly vejck.cnpeting for the $3,400 mark, but has not stood firm. If it falls below the July 16 high of 3377.17 in the short term, this time it may further fall into the US$3350-3330 range. However, silver's recent strong performance (driven by industrial demand and supply shortages) may provide indirect support for gold.

2) Analysis of crude oil market trends

On Thursday, crude oil trading around 65.29. U.S. President Donald Trump announced a trade deal with Japan and the Philippines that has driven the rise in black gold. On Wednesday, EU officials said they were reaching a trade deal with the United States that would result in a broad 15% tariff on EU goods imported into the United States, avoiding a higher 30% tariff from August 1.

The US dollar index is still weak, and gold stops rising three times!(图5)

Technical: From a technical perspective, WTI crude oil is currently trading below the key long-term pivot point of $65.38. This makes oil prices gradually approach support levels below: the 200-day moving average $64.08 and the 50-day moving average $63.50. If WTI crude oil falls below the June 24 low of $62.69, it may trigger an accelerated selling. In the current downtrend, traders are unlikely to turn long unless WTI crude oil Can recover the pivot point of $65.38.

Forex market trading reminder on July 24, 2025

11:05RBA Chairman Brock delivered a speech

14:00Germany August Gfk Consumer Confidence Index

15:15French July Manufacturing PMI Initial Value

15:30Germany July Manufacturing PMI Initial Value

16:00Euro Zone Initial value of manufacturing PMI in July

16:30 Initial value of manufacturing PMI in July

16:30 Initial value of service PMI in July

18:00 Difference of CBI industrial orders in July

20:15 European Central Bank announced interest rate resolution

20:30 Monthly retail sales rate in Canada in May

20:30 Number of initial unemployment claims in the week from the United States to July 19

20:45 European Central Bank President Lagarde held a press conference

21:45 US S&P Global Manufacturing PMI in July

21:45 US S&P Global Services PMI in July

22:00 US June total new home sales annualized

22:30 US to July 18 EIA natural gas inventory

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