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The US dollar index rebounded, and "bad news" came from US inflation data!

Post time: 2025-08-15 views

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Hello everyone, today XM Foreign Exchange will bring you "[XM Foreign Exchange Official Website]: The US dollar index rebounds, and "bad news" vejck.cnes from US inflation data!". Hope it will be helpful to you! The original content is as follows:

On August 15, in the early trading of Asian market on Friday, Beijing time, the US dollar index hovered around 98.12. On Thursday, the US dollar index rebounded, and then, as the US July PPI index was higher than expected, it may suggest that inflation will generally rise in the next few months. The US index expanded its gains and returned to above the 98 mark, and finally closed up 0.43% to 98.17; the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yield closed at 4.290%, and the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield closed at 3.741%. Spot gold continued to fall during the day, and fell below the $3330 mark during the US session, falling more than $40 from the day high, and finally closed down 0.61% to $3335.33/ounce; spot silver closed down 1.27% to $37.99/ounce. Crude oil rebounded, setting a new high in the past week. WTI crude oil fluctuated upward during the day and rose sharply before the US session, finally closing up 1.54% to $63.06/barrel; Brent crude oil finally closed up 1.46% to $66.29/barrel.

Analysis of major currencies

Dollar Index: As of press time, the US dollar index hovered at $98.12. Supported by steady US data and rising US yields, the US dollar index ended its two consecutive days of decline and successfully recovered the 98.00 and above mark. Technically, the U.S. dollar index is trying to close above resistance at 98.00–98.20. If this attempt is successful, the U.S. dollar index will move towards the next resistance level, which is in the 99.20–99.40 range.

The US dollar index rebounded, and bad news came from US inflation data!(图1)

Euro: As of press time, Euro/USD hovered around 1.1652. Euro/USD fell sharply on Thursday as the latest U.S. inflation report caught traders off guard and they bet on the Fed's 50 basis points (bps) rate cut in September. Technically, if Euro/USD closes below 1.1636, it will move towards support at 1.1575-1.1590.

The US dollar index rebounded, and bad news came from US inflation data!(图2)

GBP: As of press time, GBP/USD hovered around 1.3533. GBP/USD fell back on Thursday due to rising U.S. inflation indicators, causing the US dollar to rise generally and ended the two-day consecutive rise of the GBP/USD pair. GBP/USD hit its biggest single-day decline in more than two weeks, and the pair fell back to 1.3500 after technically pushing to 1.3600. Technically, falling below the 1.3530 level will open the road to testing support levels in the range of 1.3485–1.3500.

The US dollar index rebounded, and bad news came from US inflation data!(图3)

Analysis of gold and crude oil market trends

1) Analysis of gold market trends

On Friday, gold hovered around 3336.91. On Thursday, the U.S. inflation report was hot, prompting investors to digest the possibility of a 50 basis point cut at the upcoming meeting of the Federal Reserve. Gold prices were hit and plummeted by more than 0.60%. The U.S. July Producer Price Index (PPI) data released by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) broke expectations and June data. The core PPI soared, approaching 4% in the environment where the White House demanded interest rates lower, and said tariffs would not easily cause inflation.

The US dollar index rebounded, and bad news came from US inflation data!(图4)

Technical: Gold prices fell below $3350 as U.S. factory prices re-invigorate concerns about a resurgence of inflation. Gold fell below the confluence of the 3349-day and 3357-day simple moving averages (SMA) near the $20-$50 range. In the short term, the momentum portrayed by the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has turned bearish, but from the perspective of price trends, gold should be below the July 31 low of $3274 Side-sided consolidation. If gold breaks through $3300, the next support will be the 100-day moving average of $3292. Once broken, further declines will fall below $3274 as sellers turn their attention to $3250. On the other hand, if gold breaks through $3357, the next resistance will be $3380, followed by $3400. Key resistance is on the top of the head, such as the June 16 high of $3452, followed by 35All-time highs of $00.

2) Analysis of crude oil market trends

On Friday, crude oil trading was around 63.02. WTI crude oil rose slightly as traders remained cautious ahead of U.S. President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin’s important meeting to end the Russian-Ukrainian war in Alaska on Friday.

The US dollar index rebounded, and bad news came from US inflation data!(图5)

Technical: From a technical perspective, the current RSI is constantly approaching 30, indicating that the bearish sentiment of market participants still exists. If the bears continue to control the price, they may see oil prices fall below the $59.85 support level and further down to the $54.80 support level.

Forex market trading reminder on August 15, 2025

①09:30Monthly price report of residential prices in 70 large and medium-sized cities in China

②10:00My year-on-year in China

③10:00My year-on-year in China

④20:30My month-on-year in China

⑤20:30My month-on-year in China

⑤20:30My month-on-year in the retail price of residential sales in 70 large and medium-sized cities

⑦20:30My month-on-year in the US

⑦20:30My month-on-year in the US

⑧21:15My month-on-year in the US

Monthly rate of industrial output

⑨22:00 The expected initial value of the one-year inflation rate in the United States in August

⑩22:00 The monthly rate of vejck.cnmercial inventory in the United States in June

22:00 The initial value of the University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Index in August

The next day 01:00 The total number of oil drilling rigs in the week from the United States to August 15

The next day 03:30 US President Trump and Russian President Putin met

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