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Hello everyone, today XM Forex will bring you "[XM Forex Decision Analysis]: There is a bearish reversal signal below the key resistance level 149.60". Hope it will be helpful to you! The original content is as follows:
XM Forex APP News - On Tuesday (July 22), the US dollar showed a volatile upward trend against the Japanese yen. Prices gradually rose from their relative lows after opening and reached their intraday highs in the afternoon, and then fell back. Intraday trading was 147.455/465, an increase of 0.06%. Recently, the US dollar/JPY has experienced a three-week increase, with an increase of 4.5%, rising from the low of 142.68 on July 1, 2025 to the high of 149.19 on July 16, 2025 (a three-month peak), and has now reached the potential turning point range of 149.00/149.60. Next, the exchange rate is likely to fall back to the bottom of the three-month rise sideways range formed from April 22, 2025. Fundamental analysis The yield on the US 10-year Treasury bond is close to 4%, while the yield on the Japan 10-year Treasury bond is slightly more than 1%, and the interest rate spread continues to support the US dollar. The Bank of Japan expects to keep interest rates unchanged by the end of July to observe U.S.-Japan trade negotiations and domestic economic data. The recovery in private consumption may provide a basis for future interest rate hikes, but political uncertainty limits room for action. Trump's 24% tariff on Japan's exports has led to a short-term appreciation of the yen, but it may damage Japan's export economy in the long run and increase downward pressure on the yen. Options markets show bullish dollar trading volumes against the Japanese yen are higher than bearish, reflecting speculators' expectations of further depreciation of the yen. CFTC data shows that although the short positions in the yen have decreased, they are still at a high level.
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